If you don’t follow Musk on Twitter you may not be aware that Musk is concerned with future underpopulation.
The amount of children necessary to keep population flat is 2.1 children per woman. Basically, the formula is (replace man+replace woman+ risk of child not making it to have their own children.)
The below graph shows some key countries. The US and China are already below replacement, and India is dropping drastically. Countries in Africa are still growing quickly, but as the world develops countries lose fertility faster and faster.
![Twitter avatar for @elonmusk](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_96/elonmusk.jpg)
Is Musk really doing his best? He has 9 measly children. For comparison, 16M people can trace their lineage to Genghis Khan. An impressive combination of willpower and potent semen. However, He also killed roughly 40M people aka 11% of the worlds population at the time. What a dick.
Musk could impregnate 2 woman a day until he dies at the projected age of 100. If you take the 9 children he has currently and add the 35,770 children via the above method that would be a total of 35,779 children.
Lets say each IVF costs 15K and he pays the woman 85K for birthing. Total cost per child 100K. Then he gives 5M USD to each child in a trust that only is given once the child grows and has children.
I think this is conservative methodology. Musk could easily reduce cost by having kids the old fashioned way with more and more of his employees:
![Twitter avatar for @BusinessInsider](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_96/BusinessInsider.jpg)
![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_600,h_314,c_fill,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5de9682a-1f4f-4024-b3bd-3e3a2c90f8e2_1200x600.jpeg)
This plan would give Elon a yearly burn rate of ~1.6%, meaning he could easily continue this indefinitely with gains from his current wealth.
Musk would project well into the future with my methodology. This would give him a yankee stadium full of children, and by the year 2169 his lineage would rank as the 3rd most populous state (in 2022 terms)
If Musk can keep his current impressively low murder rate of ~0 (significantly below GK’s 40M) I think he has a good shot to have most impressive ancestral line of all time.
-Goob